Cynthia Frelund Profile
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NFL's five most overperforming/underperforming units of 2022 season: Geno Smith, Seahawks soared
Feb 03, 2023
What drove the surprising success of Seattle's passing offense? How badly did Russell Wilson and the Broncos' offense stumble? Cynthia Frelund identifies the five units that most overperformed in the 2022 NFL season -- plus the five units that fell the farthest short of expectations.
NFL playoffs: One thing each Championship Sunday team does better than the others
Jan 26, 2023
NFL.com analytics guru Cynthia Frelund identifies the one unique strategic advantage each team playing on Championship Sunday has over its competitors. Plus, updated Super Bowl win probabilities for all four teams.
Biggest vulnerability for eight remaining NFL playoff teams; plus, updated Super Bowl LVII probabilities
Jan 18, 2023
With the Divisional Round kicking off this weekend, Cynthia Frelund updates her Super Bowl probabilities for the eight remaining playoff teams and identifies each squad's biggest vulnerability.
NFL playoffs: Which AFC/NFC teams are most likely to hit Super Bowl LVII? Who'll lift Lombardi Trophy?
Jan 11, 2023
Which AFC and NFC teams are most likely to reach Super Bowl LVII? Who's the favorite to lift the Lombardi Trophy? Our resident analytics guru Cynthia Frelund crunched the numbers. Here are the probabilities for all 14 teams in the NFL playoffs.
2022 NFL midseason win total projections, AFC: Chiefs, Bills on top; Dolphins No. 1 wild-card team
Nov 09, 2022
Will Patrick Mahomes' Chiefs finish with the best record in the AFC? Halfway through the 2022 NFL season, Cynthia Frelund provides an analytics-based projection of final win totals for each team in the conference.
Will receivers in new situations continue to thrive? Plus, my favorite upset pick for Week 2
Sep 16, 2022
After big-time Week 1 performances, will star WRs with new teams keep dominating defenses? Analytics expert Cynthia Frelund explores a wide receiver trend and provides her favorite player projections for Week 2.
2022 AFC win-total projections: Ravens win North; Patriots, Raiders, Steelers miss playoffs
Sep 05, 2022
Are the Ravens set to bounce back from their struggles in 2022? Will the Patriots miss the playoffs for the second time in three seasons? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projected win total for each AFC team.
2022 NFC win-total projections: Packers, Buccaneers, Rams continue reign; Eagles take East
Sep 05, 2022
Will the Eagles knock the Cowboys out of their divisional throne? Who owns the West between the Rams, 49ers and Cardinals? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projected win total for each NFC team.
2022 NFL season: Projecting win share leaders on offense and defense
Aug 29, 2022
Which NFL players will make the greatest contributions to their respective teams' success in 2022? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund uses her models to project win share leaders among quarterbacks, non-QB offensive players and defensive players.
Top 10 most underrated NFL players: Justin Tucker, Keenan Allen deserve more recognition
Aug 08, 2022
Episode 1 of the "Top 100 Players of 2022" kicked off on Sunday, with five players making their first-ever appearance in the ranking. That got Cynthia Frelund thinking about who deserves to be mentioned among the NFL's most underrated players. Here's her top 10.
Projecting NFL's 2022 stat leaders: Joe Burrow, Derrick Henry and Nick Bosa poised to make noise
Aug 02, 2022
Is Joe Burrow about to take his game to an even higher level after a magical Super Bowl run? Will Derrick Henry reclaim the rushing crown following an injury-abbreviated season? Can anyone cover Justin Jefferson? Cynthia Frelund provides her model's projected 2022 league leaders in the major individual statistics.
NFL's top 11 offenses in 2022? Bills, Chargers and Bengals produce highest win-share projections
May 18, 2022
With most offseason roster reconstruction behind us, which NFL teams boast the most potent attacks? Resident analytics guru Cynthia Frelund provides her projection of the top 11 offenses for the 2022 season.
2022 NFL Draft: Kyle Hamilton, Jermaine Johnson II among Day 1's top value picks
Apr 29, 2022
Cynthia Frelund analyzes her draft model to identify the five best value picks in Round 1 of the 2022 NFL Draft -- including the Ravens' selection of Kyle Hamilton and the Jets' late pickup of Jermaine Johnson II.
2022 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top wide receiver prospects
Apr 27, 2022
Can Garrett Wilson take the NFL by storm like Odell Beckham Jr. did as a rookie? Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for the top wide receiver prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft.
2022 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top cornerback prospects
Apr 21, 2022
Can Derek Stingley Jr. provide the kind of NFL impact we've seen from 2019 Defensive Player of the Year Stephon Gilmore? Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for the top cornerback prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft.
2022 NFL Draft: Pro comparisons and analytical team fits for top quarterback prospects
Apr 14, 2022
Which current AFC quarterback does Pittsburgh's Kenny Pickett most resemble? Cynthia Frelund provides pro comparisons and analytical team fits for the top five quarterback prospects in the 2022 NFL Draft.
Cynthia Frelund 2022 NFL mock draft 2.0: Lions nab Kyle Hamilton at No. 2; zero QBs selected in Round 1
Mar 31, 2022
Cynthia Frelund's second analytics-driven mock of this draft season includes a number of surprises, including a BOLD pick by the Detroit Lions at No. 2 overall. Check out the full first-round simulation, 1 to 32.
2022 NFL free agency frenzy: Three good fits and three head-scratchers
Mar 17, 2022
The start of the new league year has significantly altered rosters across the NFL via big-money contracts and blockbuster trades. Cynthia Frelund spotlights three good moves and three head-scratchers. On which list does the Steelers' signing of Mitchell Trubisky land?
Restructure or release? Carson Wentz, Kenyan Drake among eight AFC players to keep an eye on
Feb 24, 2022
Are the Colts done with Carson Wentz after just one season? Could the Bills' cap situation lead to Josh Allen losing one of his favorite targets? Cynthia Frelund spotlights eight AFC players who could be due for a restructure or outright release.
Restructure or release? Ezekiel Elliott, Michael Thomas among eight NFC players to keep an eye on
Feb 23, 2022
Is Ezekiel Elliott's massive salary still tenable for the Cowboys? What's the plan with Michael Thomas in New Orleans? Will the Packers cut Za'Darius Smith? Cynthia Frelund spotlights eight NFC players who could be due for a restructure or outright release.
NFL's five most overperforming/underperforming units of 2021 season: Mac Jones, take a bow!
Feb 02, 2022
Looking across the NFL, which position groups exceeded expectations during the 2021 season? Which ones failed to live up to the preseason billing? Cynthia Frelund spotlights the five most overperforming and underperforming units.
Projecting 2021 NFL playoffs: Who will play in Super Bowl LVI? Win the Lombardi Trophy?
Jan 12, 2022
The NFL playoffs are upon us! Who's poised to reach Super Bowl LVI? Who has the best chance to hoist the Lombardi Trophy? After crunching the numbers, Cynthia Frelund provides odds for all 14 postseason teams.
Predicting AFC division winners, playoff teams at quarter pole: Ravens take North, Chiefs best in West
Dec 15, 2021
With the NFL season reaching the quarter pole, analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projections for which AFC teams will make the playoffs. Who'll come out on top in the highly competitive AFC North?
Six most impactful games left in 2021 NFL season: Sunday's 49ers-Bengals bout looms large
Dec 10, 2021
As we hit the home stretch of the regular season, which remaining games figure to have the biggest impact on the playoff race? Cynthia Frelund spotlights six showdowns, including this Sunday's bout between the Bengals and 49ers.
Does Michael Gallup take the Cowboys' offense to an even scarier level? Plus, my upset pick for Week 11
Nov 19, 2021
Is Michael Gallup the hidden key to unlocking Dallas' full offensive potential? Cynthia Frelund provides some scary intel for the rest of the NFL. Plus, an upset pick for Week 11 and more.
Three strong potential trade fits; plus, my favorite upset pick for Week 8
Oct 29, 2021
If Marlon Mack is traded, there's one team he'd give a real boost to. Cynthia Frelund identifies three strong potential trade fits. Plus, an upset pick for Week 8 and the forecast on a few notable player projections.
Why NFL teams are rethinking fourth down; plus, my favorite upset pick for Week 7
Oct 22, 2021
Fourth down used to be punters' paradise, but not in 2021! Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund digs into the emerging "GO FOR IT!" mindset across the NFL. Plus, an upset pick for Week 7 and the forecast on a few notable player projections.
Time to worry about the 2-3 Kansas City Chiefs? Plus, my favorite upset pick for Week 6
Oct 15, 2021
With the Chiefs sitting in the AFC West cellar at 2-3, is it time to worry about the back-to-back AFC champions? Cynthia Frelund digs into Kansas City's slow start. Plus, an upset pick for Sunday and more.
Three offensive strategies paying off early in 2021 NFL season; plus, my favorite Week 4 projections
Oct 01, 2021
How are offenses gaining an edge early in the 2021 NFL season? Which cornerback is showing signs of a breakout? Cynthia Frelund answers those questions and also supplies her favorite player projections for Week 4.
NFL seeing more coverage busts? Plus, a fourth-down revolution and my favorite Week 3 projections
Sep 24, 2021
Is the NFL experiencing more coverage busts than normal in 2021? Are teams changing the way they look at fourth down? Cynthia Frelund answers those questions and also supplies her favorite player projections for Week 3.
Will Bills and Ravens get back on track? How about Aaron Rodgers? Plus, my favorite Week 2 projections
Sep 17, 2021
Was Week 1 a play-calling aberration for the Bills and Ravens? How concerned should Packers fans be with Aaron Rodgers? Cynthia Frelund answers those questions and provides her favorite player projections for Week 2.
2021 AFC win-total projections: Browns win North; Steelers miss playoffs altogether
Sep 06, 2021
Are the Browns about to win their first division title since 1989? Will the Steelers miss the playoffs for the third time in four years? Analytics guru Cynthia Frelund reveals her projected win total for each AFC team.
'Top 100 players of 2021': Jaire Alexander among five biggest snubs from top 10
Aug 22, 2021
The players ranked in the top 10 of the "Top 100 Players of 2021" were revealed on Sunday, and Cynthia Frelund's analytics suggest some deserving players were left out. She reveals the five biggest snubs from the top 10 based on her models.
Projecting NFL's 2021 stat leaders: Christian McCaffrey set for bounce-back year
Aug 04, 2021
Will Christian McCaffrey return from injury to lead the league in two major stat categories? Can Derrick Henry capture a third straight rushing title? Cynthia Frelund crunches the numbers on 2021 projections, and her models put the spotlight on 12 individual players.
2021 NFL season: Projecting the most improved player on each NFC team
Jul 27, 2021
Will the Cardinals fully exploit Isaiah Simmons' rare versatility in Year 2? Is Washington RB Antonio Gibson about to emerge as one of the NFL's best playmakers? Cynthia Frelund uses analytics to project the player who'll improve the most on each NFC team in 2021.
2021 NFL season: Projecting the most improved player on each AFC team
Jul 26, 2021
Is WR Henry Ruggs III poised to break out in Year 2 with the Raiders? Will Dolphins TE Mike Gesicki emerge as a true mismatch nightmare? Cynthia Frelund uses analytics to project the player who'll improve the most on each AFC team in 2021.
Melvin Ingram to Chiefs? Mitchell Schwartz to Steelers? Logical fits for remaining free agents
Jul 14, 2021
As NFL training camp nears, some high-profile free agents remain on the open market. Cynthia Frelund provides four logical player-team fits, including a potential boon to Kansas City's pass rush.
Which NFL rookie QBs will be most productive in 2021? My analytics-based top-five rankings
Jun 28, 2021
What makes Justin Fields a strong candidate to play well as soon as he gets starting snaps with the Bears? Cynthia Frelund digs into the analytics to project the five most productive rookie QBs of the 2021 NFL season.
Which NFL rookie receivers will be most productive in 2021? My analytics-based top-seven rankings
Jun 21, 2021
Which rookie wide receivers are poised to enjoy immediate NFL success? After crunching the numbers, analytics guru Cynthia Frelund ranks the top seven newcomers by potential production in the 2021 season.
Which NFL rookie tight ends will be most productive in 2021? My analytics-based top-five rankings
Jun 14, 2021
Which rookie tight ends are poised to enjoy immediate NFL success? After crunching the numbers, analytics guru Cynthia Frelund ranks the top five newbies by potential production in the 2021 season.
Which NFL rookie running backs will thrive in 2021? My analytics-based top-five rankings
Jun 07, 2021
Which rookie running backs are poised to enjoy immediate NFL success? After crunching the numbers, analytics guru Cynthia Frelund ranks the top five newbies by potential production in the 2021 season.
Projecting the NFL's top 10 offenses in 2021: Buccaneers or Chiefs at No. 1?
May 19, 2021
The bulk of NFL roster reconstruction is behind us. The schedule is out. It's high time for 2021 season forecasting! With that in mind, Cynthia Frelund counts down her top 10 offenses, based on updated win-share projections.
2021 NFL Draft: Best team fits for top running backs? Five analytics-based pairings
Apr 22, 2021
The 2021 NFL Draft offers some enticing running backs with multifaceted skill sets. What is each top prospect's best team fit? Cynthia Frelund crunches the numbers and provides five ideal analytics-based pairings.
2021 NFL Draft: Best team fits for top quarterbacks? Five analytics-based pairings
Apr 14, 2021
The 2021 NFL Draft is highlighted by a series of enticing -- and functionally different -- quarterbacks. What is each top prospect's best team fit? Cynthia Frelund crunches the numbers and provides five ideal analytics-based pairings.
2021 NFL Draft: Best team fits for top wide receivers? Five analytics-based pairings
Apr 07, 2021
The 2021 NFL Draft provides another crop of highly enticing wide receivers. What is each top prospect's best team fit? Cynthia Frelund crunches the numbers and provides five ideal analytics-based pairings.