Using the power of NFL Pro -- granting unique team and player insights and a wealth of analytics from Next Gen Stats -- NFL Research breaks down the records that stand to be broken in Week 16. Sign up for NFL+ Premium to gain access to NFL Pro.
1) Mike Tomlin and Sean Payton win football games.
Mike Tomlin and Sean Payton are two of only five NFL head coaches since the turn of the century that have won at least 190 games, including the playoffs. Tomlin led the Steelers to the Super Bowl XLIII title in 2008, and Payton led the Saints to the Super Bowl XLIV title the very next season.
Tomlin's Steelers have won 199 regular season and playoff games since he took over as head coach in 2007, 10 shy of Hall of Famer Chuck Noll's franchise record. With another Steelers win, Tomlin – 53 years old – would become the third youngest head coach in NFL history to reach 200 career wins, including the playoffs.
Payton won 161 regular season and playoff games in New Orleans, making him the only coach in franchise history to win at least 100 games. Now in his third season with the Broncos, he is on the doorstep of a fifth 13-win season as a head coach. A Broncos win in Week 16 would join Payton with Bill Belichick – seven such seasons – as the only head coaches in NFL history to win at least 13 games in at least five different seasons.
2) The sack record is within arm's length for Myles Garrett.
One sack to tie.
1.5 sacks to break.
Myles Garrett is sitting on 21.5 sacks entering Week 16 – already good for sixth most in a season since individual sacks were first tracked in 1982.
With a sack in Week 16, Garrett will tie Hall of Famer Michael Strahan and T.J. Watt for the most in a season, and just another half sack would set a new NFL single-season sack record.
A sack would also extend Garrett's streak of games with a sack to nine games, joining Chris Jones – 11 straight in 2018 – and Trey Hendrickson – nine straight in 2021 – as the only players to record a sack in at least nine straight games in a season.
3) Josh Allen. An unprecedented touchdown machine.
Josh Allen continues to make it impossible to leave him off these lists.
So let's walk through some more Allen endzone history.
Allen has recorded 299 offensive touchdowns in his career, and with another score of any variety in Week 16, he'll become the youngest and fastest to ever reach the 300 mark.
At just 29 years, 214 days old on Sunday, Allen would become not only the youngest player in NFL history to reach 300 offensive touchdowns, he'd be the only player even under the age of 30 to do so.
Week 16 will also be Allen's 126th career game, and reaching the mark would make him the only player in NFL history to reach 300 offensive touchdowns in fewer than 130 games.
With 37 offensive touchdowns in 2025, Allen needs just three more for his sixth career season with at least 40 offensive touchdowns. That would tie Aaron Rodgers for the most such seasons in NFL history.
Oh, and if the Bills win the game, Allen – 86 career wins – will break a tie with Tom Brady and Russell Wilson for the second most wins by a quarterback in their first eight seasons all-time. Only Patrick Mahomes has more with 89.
4) Bo Nix: bursting onto the scene
In just year two, Bo Nix has lead the Broncos to the top of the NFL entering Week 16. Their 12-2 record is the best in the league and has the Broncos on the doorstep of their first AFC West title since their Super Bowl 50 winning season in 2015.
Another win for Nix in Week 16 would break a four-way tie with Andrew Luck, Dak Prescott and Ben Roethlisberger for second most wins by a quarterback in the first two seasons at 22. If Denver wins out in its final three games, Nix – 22 wins entering Week 16 – would then pass Russell Wilson's 24 for the most wins by a quarterback in their first two seasons since at least 1950.
Nix is also currently tied with Wilson and Hall of Famer Peyton Manning for fourth most touchdown passes by a player in their first two seasons at 52. He needs two more touchdown passes to move past Derek Carr's 53 into third, trailing only Justin Herbert with 69 and Hall of Famer Dan Marino with 68.
5) Just throw it to Amon-Ra St. Brown
Amon-Ra St. Brown's 524 career receptions are the most by any player since he entered the NFL in 2021 – the only player with 500-or-more catches in that span.
Those 524 are also already an NFL record for most receptions by a player in their first five seasons. He's topped 100 in each of the last three seasons, and with six more catches in 2025, he'll make it four straight seasons reaching the century mark.
Only four other players in NFL history have ever caught at least 100 passes in four-or-more consecutive seasons. Antonio Brown did it in six straight seasons from 2013-18, and Davante Adams, Stefon Diggs and Hall of Famer Marvin Harrison each did so in four consecutive seasons.
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