Hopefully by now you've read one of these columns in the past and understand our new approach. If not, head back and read the intro here. In the interest of saving us all some time, I'll be cutting out the long explanation moving forward.
Week 10 was an interesting one across the NFL. We were delivered a few surprising beatdowns, some upsets, and some definitive but expected wins. In addition, it seems several potential new superstars are stepping into the spotlight and making a case for more attention from fantasy players with the playoffs looming. I get into all of this and more in the targets and touches recap below. Hit me up with questions on Twitter @AlexGelhar.
percent TS = percentage of total team passing targets player received
percent AY = percentage of total team air yards player received
Carolina Panthers at Pittsburgh Steelers
Christian McCaffrey, RB - 19 touches (Wk 9: 22, Wk 8: 18, Wk 7: 13), 94 percent snap share
McCaffrey has over 130 total yards in back to back games and has scored seven times in his last three. He faces the Lions next and will be a locked-in RB1 as usual.
New Orleans at Cincinnati Bengals
Mixon's dip in touches likely has more to do with the Bengals being down 35-7 at the end of the first half than Bernard's return. However, Bernard coming back is noteworthy. The Bengals offense looks lost without A.J. Green, but Bernard could offer at least something in the passing game. He might be worth a pick up just in case the Bengals give him a bigger role moving forward, as this was his first game back since Week 4.
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns
Last week, this duo notched over 200 total yards and scored three touchdowns. This week, they didn't even combine for 100 total yards and didn't find the end zone once. They next face a sneakily tough Dallas defense.
Rather quietly, Hooper is emerging into a trustworthy fantasy tight end. Over the Falcons' last five games Hooper is second on the team in targets (40), receptions (34) and receiving yards (293). His lowest fantasy output in that span is 7.1 (PPR scoring), and he's scored 20-plus points twice.
The future of the Browns backfield is bright. Chubb is a revelation on the ground, showing the same devastating size-speed combination he had in college at the NFL level. If you need evidence, just watch his 92-yard touchdown run. As for Johnson, over one-third of his receiving yards and all of his receiving touchdowns have come in the last two weeks. He wasn't as heavily involved this week, but the Browns also had a lead for much of this game.
This was the first game all year where Landry failed to see seven or more targets. His production has dipped of late, as he's managed more than 50 yards just once in his last five games. The good news is he has two nice matchups on the horizon (Bengals, Texans) following the team's Week 11 bye.
Detroit Lions at Chicago Bears
Riddick once again saw a strong target share, but Johnson did as well seeing as Matthew Stafford was under pressure all game (more on that in a second). It looks like early speculation by many, myself included, may have been overblown about Riddick's return shattering Johnson's fantasy value. If this type of passing game work keeps up (seven targets for Riddick, six for Johnson), the rookie can remain a solid RB2-flex play.
The Lions cannot protect Stafford (he's been sacked 16 times in the last two weeks) and it's becoming a major problem. He can't deliver accurate throws or allow time for deeper routes to develop, which isn't helping Golladay or Jones. These two are looking a bit more like boom-or-bust plays moving forward until the Lions get their act together on offense.
Cohen and Mitchell Trubisky scored rushing touchdowns, which meant Howard had a basically non-existent fantasy performance. Twelve touches for 32 yards simply isn't going to get it done.
Welcome back, Allen Robinson! After missing a few games with a groin injury, the Bears No. 1 wideout shredded the Lions Darius Slay-less secondary. He and Miller sailed past 120 receiving yards, with Robinson finding the end zone twice and Miller just once. As Trubisky grows into Matt Nagy's offense, he's looking better and better. It might be wise to try and get pieces of this Bears passing attack before the trade deadline arrives.
Arizona Cardinals at Kansas City Chiefs
Byron Leftwich for president! This is the David Johnson people drafted in the first round. Leftwich is deploying Johnson in space both on the ground and through the air, and the reward was a 183 total yard, two-touchdown performance.
This was another solid week for Fitzgerald with Byron Leftwich calling the offensive shots. He's absorbed 27 percent of the team targets the last two weeks, versus just over 20 in the four games prior. He's back on the flex/WR3 radar in PPR at least.
New England Patriots at Tennessee Titans
Lewis received the volume but Henry was the one to hit paydirt, twice. Lewis is the better all-around back who plays when the Titans are close or behind. Henry's playing time is dwindling and his best role is as a game-icing hammer. Don't fret if you made a move for Lewis or just started trusting him in your lineup. He'll be fine.
Last week I mentioned (again) that Davis' peripheral numbers indicated a blow-up game could be on the horizon. Well, it happened against the Patriots as he went for 7-125-1 on 10 targets. Smith has touchdowns in back-to-back games now and could see his role expanding as the Titans look for secondary options behind Davis.
Washington Redskins at Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Peterson saw nice volume but was unable to find his way into the end zone. The touches are there, giving Peterson a safe floor, but the injuries across his offensive line and the overall scoring limitations of an Alex Smith-led offense will limit his upside moving forward.
Doctson scored a touchdown for the second consecutive week, but that's about the only noteworthy thing from this bunch.
Rodgers led the team with eight targets and 102 receiving yards, but he'd done next to nothing fantasy-wise the rest of the season. Don't chase this production.
The Buccaneers threw for 406 yards, no touchdowns, and two interceptions. This was a strange game with disaster after disaster happening to the Bucs when they entered the red zone. It's becoming hard to decipher where Ryan Fitzpatrick's targets are going to go on a given week. Any of the players in this group could pop off, but the odds of a no-show are also quite high.
Buffalo Bills at New York Jets
The Bills jumped out to an early lead and rode McCoy to victory. McCoy crossed the century mark for the first time this season and scored his first two touchdowns of the year as well.
All hail Matt Barkley, I guess? The veteran literally came off the couch into the lineup and threw for 232 yards, two touchdowns and no interceptions. Jones went for 93 and a touchdown, while Foster went for over 100. I wouldn't put too much stock into this performance, though, as the Jets appear to be in freefall at this point in the season.
The Jets offense is dealing with multiple injuries and ineffective playcalling. McGuire saw six targets here, but overall didn't produce enough to justify starting him. Crowell scored a touchdown, so if you were forced to start him ... congratulations!
The Jets posted an impressive 135 passing yards and two interceptions in this game. No receivers or tight ends did anything fantasy-relevant as a result.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Indianapolis Colts
Fournette finally returned to the lineup and dominated the backfield touches. Yeldon still worked in as a pass-catcher (six targets, five receptions) but this is shifting back to Fournette's backfield.
If you hit the whack-a-wide receiver correctly this week, you started Moncrief, who scored on a long touchdown. Otherwise, it was more of the same from this spread-out passing attack with no clear leader.
Ebron has certainly lost volume since Doyle returned, but the Colts are using him in scoring situations. Ebron found the end zone three times in this one, twice through the air and once on the ground. Hilton's volume and air yards profile are encouraging as he gets healthier in this offense.
Los Angeles Chargers at Oakland Raiders
Gordon is the engine driving this offense and is having a career-year in the process. Good for him.
Allen found the end zone, turning his usual safe floor into a nice outing (6-57-1). With Gordon doing so much work on the ground, Philip Rivers doesn't need to chuck the rock around too much. That makes it hard for the ancillary pieces like Williams to perform with any sort of consistency.
Nothing changed in this backfield committee. Martin shouldered most of the load while Richard saw work in the passing game. Attaching your fantasy team to any part of the Raiders offense is a risky venture right now.
As I said above, attaching your fantasy team to any part of the Raiders offense is a risky venture right now.
Seattle Seahawks at Los Angeles Rams
The Seahawks rely so heavily on the ground game that there are very few air yards to go around. If you start a Seattle pass-catcher you're praying they find a way into the end zone. The heavy volume, PPR-darling version of Baldwin we all grew to love the last few years now feels like a relic of a bygone era.
Another day, another 150-plus total yard performance by Gurley.
Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers
It might be time to drop Drake, as his workload is too small to trust at this point and he's simply being outplayed by Gore.
The Packers finally featured Jones, and look what happened: the second-year stud piled up 172 total yards and two touchdowns. This should be his backfield from here on out.
Adams is about as automatic as wide receivers come in fantasy, with at least one touchdown in seven of nine games this year. MVS seems to have locked in the No. 2 role now as Randall Cobb missed another game with injuries.
Dallas Cowboys at Philadelphia Eagles
Games like this make me wonder sometimes why the Cowboys don't do even more to set Zeke up and ride him to victory. He turned his 25 touches into nearly 200 total yards and two scores.
Cooper has seen 25 and 28 percent of the team targets in his two games as a Cowboy. That's a really attractive total, even if the Cowboys passing game as a whole doesn't inspire a lot of confidence. It might be worth trying to buy low on Cooper just in case this group gets it together and starts cruising toward the postseason.
My advice is to stay as far away from this backfield as possible. The Eagles have shown no signs of turning away from this pure committee approach. If you have bench space, maybe stash Adams, as he has looked like the most explosive of the bunch. But my hopes aren't high for him to start receiving the requisite volume.
The story of this game wasn't Golden Tate's debut as an Eagle, but Ertz' dominance. I was up by about 50 points in one league, and Ertz' 14-145-2 performance almost lost me my matchup! This is worrisome if you were hoping for Tate to carry his production with the Lions into Philadelphia. There are so many mouths to feed here Tate might go hungry compared to the volume he was getting from Matthew Stafford.
New York Giants at San Francisco 49ers
Barkley's rushing totals in his last six games are as follows: 67, 38, 43, 130, 48, 44. His work in the passing game is keeping his value afloat, but he posted just 4-33-0 today.
Beckham's positive touchdown regression finally hit, as he scored twice in this one. That gives him four touchdowns in his last five games after going scoreless in his first four. Engram working his way back into this rotation takes a chunk out of Shepard's upside.
Finally healthy and with fewer bodies in the backfield to steal work, Breida went off. He crossed 100 yards on the ground and scored while adding in 31 receiving yards and a score through the air as well. Pending another injury, he's looking like a locked-in RB2 the rest of the season.